Thursday morning the nominations for the 2009 Academy Awards Ceremony will be announced. Normally the press release sends shock waves down the spines of anyone even remotely interested in the industry, however, after a fairly mediocre year of film (one in which the best films were rarely seen or put in the spotlight) it’s hard to say how big the Oscars will be this year. Unlike last year in which there were a number of sure fire wins (Daniel Day Lewis) and some extremely tight races for top prizes (Best Picture, Best Actress) this year’s lineup of possible contenders seems kind of uninspiring.
Sure this will undoubtedly be the year of Heath Ledger’s posthumous prize for The Dark Knight (hopefully the film’s sole prize of the night) and Mickey Rourke is ripe for a roaring comeback but other than that what is there to look forward to. Kate Winslet is one of the finest actors working today and has been nominated and passed over many times in the past. Will this be her year? Will she carry the burden of being nominated in two different categories (Julianne Moore was hindered by this curse in 2003 for a leading role in Far From Heaven, and a supporting turn in The Hours. She lost both)?
Wall-E was one of the most fascinating and prevalent films of the year (besides being a visual triumph of filmmaking, but does it have enough to clench a Best Picture nod? Will there be any love for some of the year’s top indies (many of which were the best films of the year, period) such as Rachel Getting Married, I’ve Loved You So Long, Happy Go Lucky, In Bruges, to name a few?
Overall this was a year of standout performances with very few solid films as a whole. Will strong, thought invoking character performances (Melissa Leo, Frozen River) best Oscar bait, star studded mediocrities (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button) only time will tell.
The following is my list of the top contenders at this year’s Oscars if I were picking the nominees. NOTE: Having not seen a handful of films, including Steven Soderbergh’s Che and Kelly Reichardt’s Wendy and Lucy this list is subject to change.
Best Actor
Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler
Sean Penn, Milk
Brendan Gleeson, In Bruges
Richard Jenkins, The Visitor
Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon
DARK HORSE NOD: Philip Seymour Hoffman, Synecdoche New York
DESERVING OF MORE RECOGNITION: Chiewetel Ejiofor, Redbelt
Still Haven’t Seen: Benicio Del Toro, Ché
Best Actress
Kristin Scott Thomas, I’ve Loved You So Long
Melissa Leo, Frozen River
Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road
Sally Hawkins, Happy Go Lucky
DARK HORSE NOD: Kate Beckinsale, Snow Angels
DESERVING OF MORE RECOGNITION: Anamaria Marinca, 4 Months, 3 Weeks, and 2 Days, Emily Mortimer, Transsiberian
Still Haven’t Seen: Michelle Williams, Wendy and Lucy
Eddie Marsan, Happy Go Lucky
Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
Michael Shannon, Revolutionary Road
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt
Robert Downey Jr, Tropic Thunder
DARK HORSE NOD: Bill Irwin, Rachel Getting Married
DESERVING OF MORE RECOGNITION: Ralph Fiennes, In Bruges, John Malkovich, Changeling, Nick Nolte, Tropic Thunder, Jeff Bridges, Iron Man
Kate Winslet, The Reader
Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler
Rosemarie DeWitt, Rachel Getting Married
Francis McDormand, Burn After Reading
Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
DARK HORSE NOD: Samantha Morton, Synecdoche New York
DESERVING OF MORE RECOGNITION: Debra Winger, Rachel Getting Married
Best Film
Rachel Getting Married
Milk
Wall-E
Slumdog Millionaire
Frost/Nixon
DARK HORSE NOD: TIE Synecdoche, New York OR The Wrestler
DESERVING OF MORE RECOGNITION: 4 Months, 3 Weeks, and 2 Days (snubbed from last year), Let the Right One In
Jonathan Demme, Rachel Getting Married
Gus Van Sant, Milk
Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon
Charlie Kaufman, Synecdoche, New York
DARK HORSE NOD: Darren Aronofsky, The Wrestler
DESERVING OF MORE RECOGNITION: Tarsem, The Fall, Werner Herzog, Encounters at the End of the World
Best Screenplay-Original
Charlie Kaufman, Synecdoche, New York
Dustin Lance Black, Milk
Vicky Cristina Barcelona, Woody Allen
Jenny Lumet, Rachel Getting Married
Philippe Claudel, I’ve Loved You So Long
DARK HORSE NOD: Andrew Stanton & Jim Reardon, Wall-E OR Martin McDonagh, In Bruges
DESERVING OF MORE RECOGNITION: Cristian Mungiu, 4 Months, 3 Weeks, 2 Days, Joel and Ethan Coen, Burn After Reading
Best Screenplay-Adapted
Simon Beaufoy, Slumdog Millionaire
Peter Morgan, Frost/Nixon
Justin Haythe, Revolutionary Road
Eric Roth, Curious Case of Benjamin Button
John Patrick Shanley, Doubt
DARK HORSE NOD: David Hare, The Reader
DESERVING OR MORE RECOGNITION: John Ajvide Lindqvist, Let the Right One In
BEST DOCUMENTARY QUAGMIRE
Three surefire nominees for Best Documentary will most certainly be Man on Wire, Encounters at the End of the World, and Standard Operating Procedure. All three are radically different and brilliant in their own regards and this creates undoubtedly the toughest category race at this year’s Academy Awards. Man on Wire has been one of the highest rated films of the year and is the epiotome of what a quality documentary should be–gripping story, unusual subject, and flawless execution. Encounters is Werner Herzog at his finest, a fascinating look at man’s desire to explore their physical world, even to its extremes. Standard Operating Procedure is Errol Morris at his most intense and though provoking. Morris asks the question, is it possible to put a human face on acts of pure evil? Mark my words, the Best Documentary category will be the most gripping race to follow.